A new national poll from Reuters shows Bernie Sanders within the margin of error with Hillary Clinton among registered Democrats.
According to the 5-day rolling poll results released on February 23, Sanders has the support of 46.3 percent of registered Democratic voters compared to Clinton’s 46.8 percent. That poll sample includes 4,133 voters from across the country. Clinton’s lead is more pronounced among likely Democratic primary voters, with a 7-point edge over Sanders. The complete sample of 7,203 voters, listed below, shows Sanders ahead by six points with Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents.
Reuters polls have showed Clinton and Sanders in a near-tie since the beginning of February. Following the Iowa caucus, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Clinton just two points ahead of Sanders in a national survey with a 5-point margin of error, meaning the poll was effectively a dead heat. A Quinnipiac national poll released on February 17 also showed Sanders within the margin of error with Hillary Clinton.
The Reuters poll released on January 23, however, showed Clinton was 5 points ahead with self-identifying Democrats. This effectively means an 11-point swing in Sanders’ favor over a one-month period. Sanders is gaining ground on Clinton at roughly the same pace Barack Obama did in 2008, according to RealClearPolitics polling averages. Between February 22 and February 24, 2008, Obama was up just 3 points on Clinton.
This poll comes at a critical time for the Sanders campaign, which is coming off of a 5-point loss in the Nevada caucus and is perceived as the underdog in Saturday’s South Carolina primary. Sanders faces another uphill contest as Super Tuesday looms ahead on March 1. The Vermont senator has been steadily gaining ground in crucial primary states like Georgia and Texas, which award approximately 20 percent of total delegates between the two of them.
(This article was updated to clarify Sanders’ lead was among all respondents, not among registered Democrats or likely Democratic primary voters. We apologize for the omission.)
Tom Cahill is a writer for US Uncut based in the Pacific Northwest. He specializes in coverage of political, economic, and environmental news. You can contact Tom via email at [email protected]